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A View from the Cheap Seats

10th District Live Blog


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8:55 p.m. -- That looks like a wrap on this end. Wolf and Feder are moving on. We'll have a full rundown on the web site and in the print edition tomorrow morning chock full of details about turnout, comments from the contenders and leading indicators for November.

Thanks for staying with us and reading the blog. Good night from the Cheap Seats.

8:51 p.m. -- The AP in Richmond has called the race for Feder.

8:46 p.m. -- If Turner is going to close the gap, he needs to do it quickly. Most of Loudoun County has reported. Turner is ahead there, but only by 10 votes. Fairfax county remains out for the most part, but Feder has won the early precincts there by large margins.

8:16 p.m. -- Results are starting to roll in to Cheap Seats HQ, and Wolf is walking away with it. The 10-to-1 margin over McKinley is holding up in all quarters with 58 percent of the vote tallied. Feder-Turner remains much closer at a consistent 60 percent to 40 percent margin, but on a lower turnout.

8:02 p.m. -- Frederick County is a done deal, Wolf over McKinley 93 percent to 7 percent, Feder over Turner, 58 percent to 41 percent. Loudoun County Democratic numbers are starting to trickle in, with an early Loudoun lead for Turner. Still no GOP numbers from the land of Loudoun.

7:57 p.m. -- Frederick County, where most of the votes west of the Blue Ridge reside, is reporting the bulk of its precincts. Wolf is still beating McKinley by a 93 percent to 7 percent margin here, but Feder's margin in the county is down to 60 percent versus 40 percent.

Still waiting on Loudoun County and it's 161,000 registered voters.

7:40 p.m.-- The city of Winchester is a done deal. Wolf wins 85 percent to 15 percent, while Feder beats Turner 53 percent to 47 percent. Still no word from Loudoun County.

7:36 p.m. -- Perhaps we spoke too soon. McKinley is picking up much bigger margins in Winchester, Manassas Park and Warren County, pushing the overall totals to 89 percent to 11 percent for Wolf with 9 percent reporting. Still a long way to go, but better than 95-5.

7:28 p.m. -- With 6 percent of precincts reporting, Wolf is up big time over challenger Vern McKinley, 95 percent to 5 percent. If the margin doesn't start breaking the other way soon, Team McKinley is going to have a long, long night.

Meanwhile, over on the Democratic side, Judy Feder is pulling what looks like a consistent 2-to-1 over Mike Turner with just under 7 percent reporting. Still waiting on the 800 lb. gorilla of the district, Loudoun County, to report.

7:19 p.m. -- Another round of "refresh" and we've got GOP numbers. Frank Wolf is on a roll in Winchester and Fauquier County, 95 percent to 4 percent.

7:14 p.m.
-- We have numbers! With one precinct reporting in Fauquier County, Feder jumps out to a  24-7 lead. And we all click "refresh" yet again...

7:00 p.m. -- The polls are closed, the election jersey has been donned. Let the obsessive screen refreshing commence.

6:40 p.m. --  No, we don't have any results yet, but the folks at Reason Magazine have noticed Virginia's primaries. Apparently South Carolina is also conducting a Republican primary, with a candidate nicknamed by some "The Spoon." That's a Cheap Seats-level nickname if I've ever heard one...

6:25 p.m. -- Polls close in 35 minutes, almost game time. Campaign operatives and party activists are no doubt preparing to head over to the State Board of Elections web site and click refresh. Repeatedly.

Republicans can click obsessively here, Democrats here.

4:58 p.m.
-- The hail in Loudoun was pea sized and lasted for more than 10 minutes and has one precinct running on back-up power, according to our Cheap Seats watchers on the ground.

This leads to an interesting question, posed earlier today by Ben Tribbett at Not Larry Sabato: "Which candidate has voters that will vote in a hailstorm for them?" Post-election finance reports might bear checking for expenditures with this company.

4:38 p.m. - Will the weather be a factor? I checked with election officials in both Winchester and Warren County and heard that turnout was about what was expected -- a little higher in the case of Winchester.

But that was before some really nasty weather came rolling through. Find 10th District radar from the National Weather Service here.

A reliable Cheap Seats informant reported hail in Loudoun County, and thunderstorm complex just rolled through Strasburg and Winchester in the past 30 minutes dropping nickel-sized hail. Primary voters are motivated types, but it kind of makes you wonder if chunks of ice falling from the sky in conjunction with lightning might dampen their ardor just a bit...

3:50 p.m. - I'm hearing from just about all quarters that turnout in the 10th District is exceedingly light. Riley at Virginia Virtucon reports much of the same, as do various commenters at Too Conservative.
---------------------
It's congressional primary day in Virginia, and from what we're hearing, voters are headed to the polls by the tens. Turnout is light to say the least, according to our sources.

But today's contests are important, as they'll set the slate for November's general election tilt. Join us here at Cheap Seats HQ as we watch the returns come in from across the district. Thrill at the rapid pace of Frederick County's tally, cry as Loudoun County's numbers go missing for hours at a time...

101_1551.JPGWe're already going through the election night check list...

Election night jersey? Check.
Faux Australian military slouch hat from Wal-Mart? Check.
Moderately-priced cigar for post-coverage smoke? Check.



Watch here for updates throughout the day and after the polls close.


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