NVDAILY.COM | OpinionPosted November 4, 2009 |
Our man in Kabul
The cancellation of the runoff election in Afghanistan gives Hamad Karzai a new term as president but with scant legitimacy in the eyes of his people and the world. The first round in August, which Karzai won, was so tainted by corruption and irregularities that he was pressured by the international community into agreeing to a runoff. But that fell through when the challenger, Abdullah Abdullah, withdrew, convinced that the new election would also be unfair. The Obama administration, which had touted the election as a sign of progress in a war-torn land deemed crucial to American security in the campaign against Islamic terrorism, is now stuck with Karzai, a slim reed at best but now perhaps fatally tarnished. Obama, who has been wrestling with a new military strategy in Afghanistan, admonished Karzai to "move boldly and forcefully forward" with reforms to curb rampant corruption and the drug trade that fuel the Taliban insurgency. Whether Karzai is so inclined is doubtful, however. Since being installed as president after the rout of the Taliban in 2001, he's turned a blind eye to corruption -- his brother and one of his running mates have been implicated in the opium trade and he reinstated a warlord accused of war crimes -- and has achieved little progress in improving the livelihood and security of his people. While Obama augmented U.S. forces by 21,000 to "secure the election," his Afghanistan commander, Gen. Stanley McChrystal, is seeking an additional 40,000 troops to wage a counter-insurgency campaign, which smacks of "nation-building." But such an enterprise is doomed without a reliable partner government in Kabul. Unless Karzai undergoes a swift leadership conversion, the U.S. needs to lower its sights and rethink its Afghan strategy. The Karzai we've come to know isn't worth more American money and blood. 1 Comment | Leave a comment |
Maybe it's time we re-think the idea of Afghanistan as a nation.
Our idea of what constitutes a nation was formed in the Peace of Westphalia which ended the Thirty Years War in 1648. This series of treaties set forth the concept of "Sovereignty."
Unfortunately, Afghanistan doesn't appear to meet the criteria of nationhood. Rather than an unified state, it is a number of city-states surrounded by independent tribes. Karzai controls that part of Aghanistan within the range of his guards' rifles. The warlords control the cities in his name for the moment. The instant they figure they can get a better deal, they're gone--most likely back into business for themselves. Meanwhile, the tribes do their own thing. They swear allegiance to the central government while being looked at and, as soon as the soldiers leave, they go back to business as usual--which is to say their local concerns. There is a lot of truth to the remark, "Afghans can't be bought, but they can be rented."
So, perhaps we should think about addressing Afghanistan as collection of small principalities rather than a single nation? I admit this is messy (one thinks of the German states before unification in the 19th century), but it might be more realistic.
Copyright © The Northern Virginia Daily | nvdaily.com | 152 N. Holliday St., Strasburg, Va. 22657 | (800) 296-5137