With presidential contender Elizabeth Warren, threatening religious liberty over sexual alternatives and gender issues, sentiments echoed by former candidate Beto O’Rourke, the title might seem preposterous. But numerous summer events suggest the possibility.

Dissent over Equality Act language hinted at declining winds. While celebrating House passage, leading activist Andrew Sullivan called for changing the gender-neutral semantics, suggesting that necessity for Senate passage. In New York magazine earlier this year he lamented: “This is a confusing and incoherent debate. If you abandon biology in sex and gender you may help trans people live fuller lives, but you also undermine the very meaning of homosexuality.” A house divided cannot stand and there is ongoing division in the movement.

Consider the Harris Group poll conducted for GLAAD, noting a large decline in LGBT support among millennials, especially women. Could biological men competing in women’s sports explain some of the dying wind? Lesbian/feminist groups, especially critical of including “T” in the LGB family, ask, “Can estrogen injections help any man understand the complexities of true womanhood?” Might common sense be driving this loss of enthusiasm?

Then came August’s Science Magazine citing another genetic study challenging the “born this way” narrative. “There is no ‘gay gene’ that determines same-sex partners,” said geneticist Andrea Ganna, of the Broad Institute of MIT, Harvard and Helsinki University. Though disputed, similar conclusions were reached by several identical twin studies over two decades, on three continents. When will biological science triumph over sentiment in legislative/educational minds? If the debate is settled, what’s driving the ongoing research? And if it isn’t settled, is unbridled endorsement the best policy?

Methodists erected another wind screen. Africa’s conservative delegates stymied efforts to pass the homosexual affirming One Plan. Disheartened liberals lamented the vote but could do little else. Methodism’s growth is occurring beyond America’s politically correct shores, leaving little hope of turning the denomination toward full acceptance anytime soon.

Ditto for the Presbyterian Church USA. While announcing inclusive language for same-sex marriages they’ve established a policy to make flocks departing the liberal institution easier. Dissent over inclusion is but one reason for separation, yet permission to leave taking valuable property with them hardly conveys commitment to the homosexual cause. Three hundred congregations, part of a 700,000 members loss since 2005, have departed, including churches in ultra-liberal Massachusetts.

Legal setbacks blocked further wind. In Tampa, Florida, a city ordinance banning counseling to individuals conflicted by same-sex attraction was permanently struck down. In recent months, courts in Minnesota and Arizona, following other SCOTUS cases, upheld the free expression rights of artists, who, while gladly serving homosexuals, avoid endorsing homosexuality.

Division over transgenderism; declining millennial support; narrative contradicting genetic studies; churches clinging to scripture in the face of threat; legal losses. The breeze may not have died, but its direction is uncertain.

With the Harris Poll, GLAAD leaders, perhaps justly, feared a rise in discrimination, something no fair-minded person wants. Sadly, discrimination goes both ways. Consider former candidate Beto O’Rourke’s threat of punishing churches that oppose same-sex marriage with a tax exemption loss. An unnecessary step since the law of the land Obergefell ruling is unlikely to be overturned. What’s driving this intimidation of historic beliefs?

In fairness, all candidates play to their base. Both sides of the aisle currently favor soundbite demonization over fully addressing complex life issues. As noted above in addition to the non-religious challenges, Christian disagreement persists making traditional churches a natural target, especially since some unfortunately use the medical/psychological information to justify hate rather than extend care.

It’s also possible for candidates on the left or right bent on gaining votes to miss this. People in general, not just Christians, have empirical reasons to question the homosexual narrative. A recent Barna poll found 55% of people support freedom of conscience. The liberty to observe numerous, non-biblical concerns surrounding homosexuality, and freely choose a stance of loving persons without affirming sexual practices.

Despite campaign threats what remains a clear target for homosexual activism isn’t going to vanish anytime soon. Pew Research reported in 2017 that 68% of immigrants to America are Christian. Those pro-family African Methodists are sending missionaries to our shores and, coming from a far more challenging culture, they won’t be intimidated easily. The push for unlimited immigration, presumed beneficial for the Democratic Party may move it toward center after all is done, and with that relocation the far-left platform that stirs the stiff breeze holding the Rainbow flag aloft may see more signs of decline.

William Shifflett is an Edinburg resident.