According to news stories, the Trump campaign fired pollsters who allegedly leaked polling results that show President Trump performing poorly against Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders in battleground states.
Regardless of the accuracy of the story, what can polling really tell us now?
At this time in 2015, polls were showing Hillary Clinton 17 points ahead of Donald Trump.
According to Gallup, Ronald Reagan’s approval rating was about the same as President Trump’s at the same time into his presidency.
In November 1984, a year and a half later, Reagan won a historic landslide victory, winning 49 of 50 states, losing only Walter Mondale’s home state of Minnesota.
Turning around the ship of state is not an easy affair, and it takes time.
What happens in November 2020 will reflect three things: the skill with which respective candidates run their campaigns; the extent to which their message resonates; and what actually happens between now and then on the economic, social and international fronts.
Consider Reagan’s famous question that propelled him to an upset victory in 1980 and a landslide victory in 1984. “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”
How do we measure this? I use my three criteria: the Constitution, Christianity and Capitalism.
On all three fronts, Donald Trump is making America great again.
The Supreme Court now has a solid conservative majority with the addition of Trump nominees Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh.
Overall, 107 Trump court nominees have been confirmed, including 40 appeals court nominees.
As a result of a more solidly conservative judicial front, President Trump has improved the environment friendly to the Christian values that we need to restore our respect for life and family.
Aggressive moves in the states to enact anti-abortion laws increase the chances of this vital issue being revisited in the nation’s now more conservative high court.
Most recently, new Trump administration rules bring major new constraints on conducting research on fetal tissue using federal funds.
And regarding the third “C,” capitalism, Harvard economist Robert Barro estimates that the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act “added 1.1% per year to United States’ GDP growth rate for 2018-19.” This is a boost in growth almost a third over the average growth rate in the Obama years.
Optimism among the nation’s small businesses is surging, according to the most recent National Federation of Independent Business Small Business Optimism Index.
Record-low unemployment among Hispanics and blacks could be paying political dividends for this president.
A new Wall Street Journal/NBC poll shows President Trump’s approval at 32 percent among Hispanics and 17 percent among blacks. Compared with 29 percent of Hispanics and 8 percent of blacks who voted for Trump in 2016, this could be a game changer favoring President Trump in 2020.
President Trump’s courage to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel has changed the face of the Middle East, and potentially the world, for the better.
Now a historic U.S.-sponsored meeting is scheduled in Bahrain, where Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar will join with the U.S. to focus on capitalism and prosperity as the keys to Middle East peace rather than the political dead ends of the past.
None of these achievements would be imaginable without Donald Trump’s conviction that American greatness is unique and based in key principles rooted in my three Cs – the Constitution, Christianity and Capitalism.
Even the market-opening trade demands toward China, which have elicited criticism in some circles, are driven by these principles. Success will make everyone, including China, better off.
Donald Trump, the most unconventional president in American history, is delivering, and the dividends are starting to flow.
Americans will face a clear choice in 2020 between individual responsibility and freedom or, alternatively, collectivism and tyranny.
I anticipate a Donald Trump landslide in 2020 not seen since Ronald Reagan.